Analysts warn the US focus on the Middle East could create an Indo-Pacific security vacuum, potentially allowing China to escalate in the WPS without strong deterrence. ⁹ However, Philippine-US joint activities, like sails near Scarborough Shoal, continue, and no heightened Chinese aggression tied to the war has been confirmed. ¹⁰ ¹¹ OFW safety in war-risk zones like the Strait of Hormuz adds indirect maritime concerns for Filipino seafarers.

The developments in Vietnam serve as a reminder that economic and security pressures in neighboring claimant states can have direct implications for Manila’s strategic posture, emphasizing the need for proactive maritime planning, regional coordination, and risk management.

Article by Monne Slyvia Published on March 20, 2026 04:36PM Filipino fisher from Subic, Zambales who regularly travels to the West Philippine Sea (WPS) shared that they are worried that rising fuel prices will further strain their livelihood, adding to the pressure they face from the presence of Chinese vessels in the area. Chinese vessels have long harassed Filipino fishermen in the WPS using loudspeakers for warnings, blocking access to fishing areas, and being shadowed by